آموزش و تحلیل
بازار پیشبینی چطور کار میکند، قیمتها واقعاً چه معنایی دارند، و چطور بدون اشتباه در مبانی شروع کنیم.
- BASICS
What is a prediction market, and how are odds set?
A prediction market lets you buy shares in an outcome. When YES trades at 62¢, the crowd is pricing that outcome at 62% — and decades of research show these prices are remarkably well calibrated.
8 دقیقه مطالعه - COMPARE
Prediction markets vs. sportsbooks: the real difference
A sportsbook hides its margin inside the odds and always trades against you. On a prediction market your counterparty is another trader, the price is transparent, and you can exit a position before resolution.
6 دقیقه مطالعه - GUIDE
Getting started on Polymarket from Telegram in 10 minutes
No exchange account, no app install. Your wallet is created the moment you open the mini app — this guide walks from first deposit to first position in ten minutes.
10 دقیقه مطالعه - ANALYSIS
How accurate were prediction markets in 2025?
We scored every 2025 market at resolution against its final price. Markets priced above 70¢ resolved YES 83% of the time — a look at where the crowd was sharp, and where it wasn't.
7 دقیقه مطالعه