همهٔ گزینههایی که در بازار معامله میشوند، از محتملترین. هر درصد را کسانی قیمت زدهاند که رویش پول گذاشتهاند.
تسویه: پنجشنبه ۱ ژوئیهحجم ۲۴ ساعت ۱۶ هزار دلار۲ گزینه
محتملترین از نگاه بازارآیا ویکتور اوربان در ۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۷ دستگیر خواهد شد؟
۶۷٪
گزینهها
۱
آیا ویکتور اوربان در ۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۷ دستگیر خواهد شد؟حجم ۲۴ ساعت ۲٬۲۸۴ دلار
۶۷٪
۲
ویکتور اوربان توسط...؟حجم ۲۴ ساعت ۱۴ هزار دلار
۲۹٪
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.