آیا ۲۰۰-۲۱۹ کشتی از تنگه باب المندب بین ۲۴ اوت تا ۳۰ اوت عبور خواهند کرد؟
27%احتمال، به روایت بازار
پشتوانهاش $13K معامله در ۲۴ ساعت گذشته است — این قیمتی است که مردم رویش پول گذاشتهاند، نه یک پیشگویی.
قیمت چطور حرکت کرده
ثبت روزانهٔ قیمت این بازار از امروز آغاز شده — روند از همینجا ساخته میشود.
این بازار چطور تسویه میشود
قواعد زیر تعیین میکند چه کسی پول میگیرد. پیش از نگاه کردن به قیمت، اینها را بخوانید — بیشتر غافلگیریها ریشهٔ تعریفی دارند، نه پیشبینیای.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
این بازار را از تلگرام دنبال کنید، یا همانجا موضع بگیرید.
باز کردن در تلگرامقیمت در تاریخ 2026-08-23 12:15 UTC · منبع: Polymarket